2. NW Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the NW Caribbean Sea & portions of Central America are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear
favorable for development of this system, and a tropical depression
or tropical storm is likely to form during the next few days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.