Newsmax is touting a poll where Trump is edging Harris out in 4 battleground states 4 days after Biden drops out and I have say that the legitimacy of polling has never looked so obviously broken.

@SentinelOfTruth

If they keep using the demographic models they were using before, they're essentially betting that Harris brings nothing new to the game and doesn't change the universe of voters.

That wasn't a good bet on Obama in '08, and I doubt it's a good bet now.

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@DavidSalo You basically described rolling dice with your eyes closed πŸ˜‚

Also not something you wanna bet on.

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