"NHC forecasts of Helene's landfall were extraordinarily consistent, particularly after the PTC stage (beginning with the 5th forecast in this sequence). At that point, all the forecasts fell within about a 40-nm-wide circle, and nailed the timing within ~2 h. (1/5)"

@FranklinJamesL, Former Chief, Hurricane Specialist Unit, National Hurricane Center, NOAA/NWS (retired).