What is happening in the Atlantic Ocean to the ?

Timing of the critical AMOC transition is still highly uncertain, but increasingly the evidence points to the risk being far greater than 10 % during this century – even rather worrying for the next few decades. The conservative IPCC estimate, based on climate models which are too stable and don’t get the full freshwater forcing, is in my view outdated now.

realclimate.org/index.php/arch

@NorthernInvader

this is a big deal imo, a “but the emperor has no clothes” moment at all the climate modeling, including the UN, which has been too conservative in its erring. a disservice to the public/planet to say the least.

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@peeppeepcircus Yes - the IPCC allowed some politics to moderate their early on findings.

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