You can believe 538, the Harris campaign, and the polls, which currently show a roughly 50/50 Presidential race, or you can believe truthy social media posts insisting Harris is well ahead, but you can't do both.

@Coctaanatis Well I'm not believing Nate Silver for one thing lol

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@DevinY1 Nate Silver left 538 in 2023 and has his own website, Silver Bulletin.

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