538 has Biden over 50% in Georgia in a recent uptick in polling averages and other factors influencing their algorithm. Odds are in Biden's favor at 57%.
Given Ossof's strong debate performance, they may also get a D senator.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/georgia/

@th3j35t3r, hello. I signed up to support you by Patreon, but it looks like it didn't make me a Pro user. Is that payment channel linked to my account, or should I re-direct my subscription to CS Pro instead?

Correction: Deaths lag Hospitalizations by 3 weeks.
(duh!)

Brace yourselves.
Hospitalizations seem to lag Deaths by 3 weeks. The nadir of the Hospitalization curve was about 3 weeks ago.

16 out of Biden's 87-out-of-100 chances to win are where he loses FL. Therefore, 45* can win FL 29 out of the 100 most probable scenarios and still lose. But, if 45* loses FL, he doesn't win.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/

Biden now has the highest spread on the approval ratings at 10.5 points. 45*, at 41.8%, is approaching his lowest average approval which occurred on July 8th and was 41.1%.

I counted 14 scenarios where Biden looses FL and still wins the election. There is roughly a 1-in-4 chance that FL will fall to 45*. Biden presently has 51.3% in FL with 5% undecided.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/florida/

---Wired Mag: https://www.wired.com/story/doomsday-planes-trump-covid-19-test

Those ‘Doomsday Planes’ ... Trump's .. Test: Middlebury Institute's Lewis says. "They just don’t think about that, because that seems crazy. And so when something happens and people look and they see the normal readiness level they think to themselves, 'Oh my God, this must be a catastrophe, because why would you have all these forces on alert?!' But Trump getting sick didn’t cause this. This is what it’s like all the time, and if you don’t like that then maybe that’s a conversation to have."

I would like to propose a new term to replace "Racism". "Groupism" calls out the same, twisted logic that assigns an irrelevant attribute to the entire group. Racism is a subset of Groupism. We're seeing groupism applied to Dems, R's, Libs, Conservatives, Catholics, Protestants, Californians and Politicians. If the group is defined by the attribute - such as Blondes have blonde hair - that is not groupism. Racism is Groupism applied to a race. Notice how the RNC rhetoric is groupist.

Most of the radicals I've encountered do not have the ability to deconstruct complex concepts into more simple components. It's always one big issue. They gut-check it because that's the only tool they have and trust. Therefore, arguing is a pointless exercise.

17. Like-minded state governors establish groups to pool resources and coordinate efforts
18. These new groups give themselves a name
19. Citizens of these new state-groups begin to use that name to differentiate themselves from those with opposing values
20. The federal government runs out of cash, with the currency now highly devalued, and cannot afford to enforce its influence over the groups of states

13. The federal government re-purposes its forces on compliant states with populations with similar values as the leadership
14. State governors establish boarder checks to mitigate the catastrophic condition in violation of the Constitution
15. Federal courts rule against the states
16. State governors with boarder checks ignore the Federal court

10. Re-purpose funding to domestic security efforts due to increasing civil unrest - which is supported by one division of the society
11. State governors, who have managed to mitigate the catastrophic condition, begin to act against the federal security efforts and encourage citizens to identify with the state and not the federal government
12. The state governments become more trusted relative to the federal government
state-groups

7. Keep mitigating the economic impact to the people with sustaining-capital (not investment capital) and do it using debt
8. Sustain the economic suppression so that the tax revenue is significantly reduced
9. Sustain the funding until the currency begins to be devalued by traders and inflation begins to accelerate

4. Accelerate the divisions of the people by associating their values to their reaction to the catastrophic condition (such as wearing a mask)
5. Sustain the conditions for an extended period by ensuring that the catastrophic condition is not fixed (such as opening up too early)
6. Create an environment where the economy is suppressed into a deep recession.

How to bring down a country in 20 easy steps:
(We are at step 5)
1. Split the people based on their personal values and not the collective values of the country
2. Accelerate that condition with divisive leadership
3. Insert an unavoidable, catastrophic condition into society that impacts everyone's lifestyle (such as a pandemic)

I've been building COVID dashboards for my own use, but maybe people here might find them interesting or useful. Have a look!
https://bit.ly/coviddashboardsweb

Your daily dose of terror and misery: https://bit.ly/covid19dashboards

My broad-stroke opinion:
Conservatives and Liberals can both be intelligent.
But, the difference in their intelligence occurs upfront, when they are considering the information to define their position.
A conservative is dominated by a "belief structure" where their data-filter is less discerning unless it conforms to their beliefs.
A liberal approaches the data from a discerning perspective and with fewer belief-biases.
This is why the word "truth" has different meanings to them.