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But Abraham Wald, a mathematician, came to a different conclusion: the red dots represented only the damage to the planes that were able to return, that came home.

The areas that really should reinforce, were the places where there were no points because these are the places where the plane would not survive being hit.

This phenomenon is called survival deviation. It happens when you look at the things that have survived when you should focus on the things you don't.

2/3

@XSGeek how totally fascinating. Completely changes the way you look at those dots.

@djmpb @XSGeek

Yup.

This is the problem with statements like “I grew up this way and I turned out fine” and “I did this [insert quacky bullshit] and I was fine.”

These people are the lucky ones.

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