By all accounts, the dreaded "forty-mile convoy" seems not to have made an inch of progress in going on three days.

That's not "reassessing your strategy", we're getting into "rethinking your life" territory now.

@mcfate I first heard about this convoy coming, I believe it was 4 days ago. It almost felt like a trap. Like they were going to get Ukraine to send out people, planes and such, and kill them. Yet here we are, 4 days later and theyโ€™re all doing nothing. They shouldโ€™ve been to Kyiv in less than a day.

@mcfate this is crazy. Putin knows what it takes for a war, but was so unprepared, even with all the time he had to prepare.

@DanKravetsky

From all reports, he literally didn't think there was going to be a war.

He thought the Ukrainian military would surrender immediately, the people would greet their "liberators" with flowers, and Zelenskiy would had for the hills, hopefully with a bagful of Ukraine's money.

Never get high on your own supply.

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@mcfate @DanKravetsky

"Never get high on your own supply."

I think this crystalizes it. Putin has been destabilizing country after country using psy-ops on social media and the RW clown show and media shitshow that supported Ru propaganda with incredible success, installing proto-fascist strongman after strongman who sympathize who have been propping up his murderous tyranny and giving it the veneer of normalcy.

His glittering prize :Asshat: in that is delivering big dividends even still.

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@mcfate @DanKravetsky

He wrongly thought Zelensky would run and he could manipulate the narrative and count on those useful idiots to divide and stymie a robust response.

Thankfully Joe Biden is president and seeing right through him and exposing him every step of the way while consolidating and unifying both the EU and NATO.

Meanwhile :Asshat: is still fellating Putin every chance he gets because he knows nothing else.

May it once and for all show him and the MAGA-cult for what it is.

@TheAbbotTrithemius @DanKravetsky

Well, he's burning 1.4% of his domestic GDP every day this war goes on, and that probably doesn't even include all the shit they're having stolen or blown to shit.

Do the math. For how many days straight can you spend 1.4% of your GDP?

@mcfate @DanKravetsky

I don't' know if that number will hold but if it does then I get 71 days.

2 months plus change...

But much less than that really before the seams start flying off the economy in Ru in a way that will accelerate that and shit will get medieval...

@TheAbbotTrithemius @DanKravetsky

Yup.

Now, add in the potential costs of "winning" and suddenly being obliged to both support the Ukrainian economy and keep a country the size of Texas containing 44 million pissed-of Ukrainians "pacified".

He can't possibly win at this.

@mcfate @DanKravetsky

No. Ukr will have the mother of all insurgencies with billions in arms flowing and foreigners joining that fight. They already are.

@mcfate @TheAbbotTrithemius @DanKravetsky given that Russian economic productivity is cratering, their markets are still suspended, and the rouble has plummeted, that GDP number is probably inaccurate at best; a fantasy at worst.

@formica @TheAbbotTrithemius @DanKravetsky

Well, yes, that's the GDP BEFORE Volodya decided he liked losing fights in Ukraine better than he liked having the ruble be worth less than a stick of Bazooka Gum.

So, knock 20, 30, 40% or more off that. The center of the earth seems to be the limit.

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