“Our economists say there’s a 35% probability that the U.S. tips into recession over the next year, an estimate that’s well below the median of 65% among forecasters in a Wall Street Journal survey,” said Goldman Sachs’ economists in their 2023 outlook. “The U.S. may avoid a downturn in part because data on economic activity is nowhere close to recessionary.” #CoSoFinance
A record number of used Teslas are on the market and toxic #RIPTwitter Musk has slashed prices on new Teslas.
Bix Tip: If buying a used Tesla, remember that new batteries for the car cost up to $22.5K.
https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/tesla-used-car-price-bubble-pops-weighs-new-car-demand-2022-12-27/
Southwest Airlines Spent $5.6 Billion on share buybacks in Years Ahead of Mass Cancellation Crisis https://www.commondreams.org/news/southwest-airlines-shareholder-gifts Coincidentally, got a $7 billion bailout during the pandemic. But didn't have the money to upgrade its computer systems.
"Any time you allow an exemption from the rules that are supposed to be enforced and do not jail people immediately when they are caught breaking the rules you will get more law-breaking." https://market-ticker.org/akcs-www
Leading economic indicators have turned negative. Even the the 6-month annualized percent change in the LEI (below) is negative. This is a strong indicator of recession, probably in Q1. #economy #CoSoFinance
Energy outperformed other sectors by a wide margin in 2022. That's three years in a row. The chances of four in a row are low, but not zero. #CoSoFinance
We are probably in the late stage of the business cycle. That points to lower stock prices ahead, but a bottom in the first half of the year (most likely), and I'm leaning toward Q1 (probably). #economy #CoSoFinance
Stock market update: This is only the fifth year since 1928 when both stocks and bonds were negative. Talk about nowhere to hide. #CoSoFinance
@Still_Angry_Gardener @TXPamInOH @RealSeanBrodrick --As a former lifelong resident of NY, it's kind of shocking to view all of this incompetence from afar. Hochul is a novice. Maybe she will learn on the job. But she was a better choice than Zeldin. Adam's is clueless. His no bail reform was beyond nutty. At worst, Santos is a 1 term representative. But my sense is he's now in the cross-hairs of both NYS & the Eastern NY AG. His tax returns are fair game & likely the quickest path to indictment.
Republican Rep.-elect George Santos admits to lying about key details https://www.marketwatch.com/story/republican-rep-elect-george-santos-admits-to-lying-about-key-details-of-his-bio-11672102562?reflink=mw_share_twitter I would find it offensive if it was my ethnicity someone was lying about -- I mean, he claimed to be Jewish and said his grandparents escaped the Holocaust -- but what do I know
8 of the top 10 performing stocks in the S&P 500 for 2022 are oil & gas stocks. #energy #CoSoFinance
The energy industry has learned not to overinvest. This chart shows how oil-industry investment was declining as demand was increasing through 2021. HOWEVER, day rates for rig rentals are rising, so we'll likely see spending increase when Q4 2022 results come in. #CoSoFinance
"Barry Levinson’s medicated miniseries forensically diagnoses America’s addiction to, and corruption by, the pursuit of capitalism": Dopesick (2021) #OpioidCrisis #Oxycontin #SacklerFamily https://projectedfigures.com/2022/12/27/dopesick-season-1-2021/
In a world gone mad with chaos and blood, one man stands alone against the forces of evil. That man is Sean Brodrick #finance #stocks #resources