After Helene's storm surge hit Siesta Key, Milton is now poised to bring even more devastation. Roads are scattered with debris and personal belongings left behind from the previous storm, which struck less than two weeks ago.
@JordanHallWX
#flwx #HurricaneMilton
LIVE Major Hurricane Milton Update
Hurricane Milton is set for landfall along Florida's west coast on Wednesday evening/early Thursday morning. Time is running out to prepare. Meteorologist Mike Linden is LIVE timing out the storm's arrival and answering viewer questions.
Meanwhile in non-Milton news...
retooting
UW-Madison CIMSS
@UWCIMSS
Beautiful Auroral display overnight in the Day Night Band. Look how it changes in less than 30 minutes! See also https://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/satellite-blog/archives/61044
Latest #Milton update (12:50 EDT)
Winds: 150 mph (Category 4)
Pressure: 929 mb (and dropping)
Movement: ENE @ 9 mph
Aircraft is going in once again. Expect some strengthening over the next few hours.
Textual Forecast Thread from Matthew Cappucci
Orlando too should see winds gusting near 75 mph at peak.
Heavy rains on the order of 6 to 8 inches will be common across central Florida where Milton marches across the Peninsula, with localized totals of a foot or more near and just north of the storm’s path.
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Textual Forecast Thread from Matthew Cappucci
It remains to be seen which specific communities are most heavily impacted.
In addition to surge, winds gusting around 100 mph at the coastline near the storm’s core might cause damage. Tampa proper may see winds of 90 mph on Wednesday evening, and Lakeland could get gusts of 80 mph during the first part of the overnight.
Textual Forecast Thread from Matthew Cappucci
If the eye passes just north of Tampa Bay, a worst-case scenario event will unfold. Yet if the eye slips south of Tampa Bay, offshore winds will mitigate surge impacts; that same scenario, however, would be a worst-case scenario for Sarasota, Venice or Siesta Key, since they would see the onshore winds.
Simply stated, it’s virtually inevitable that some communities will see a destructive and disastrous storm surge.
Textual Forecast Thread from Matthew Cappucci
The storm’s wind field will be expanding, allowing it to more easily pile water against the coast. A dangerous surge of 10 feet or more is likely south of where the eye makes landfall. That’s where onshore eyewall winds will most efficiently push water inland.
It’s likely that landfall will occur somewhere between just north of Tampa Bay and Port Charlotte. But subtle shifts of only a few miles will have enormous bearings on outcomes.
Textual Forecast Thread from Matthew Cappucci
Confidence is high in a life-threatening storm surge somewhere along the central Gulf Coast of Florida. Milton, which reached Category 5 status on Monday north of the Yucatan Peninsula, is expected to slam Florida on Wednesday evening as a Category 3 major hurricane.
Milton hits tomorrow
After spending a day as a historic Category 5, Milton is heading for Florida. Though its maximum winds will decrease into the Category 2 or 3 range, its wind field is expanding markedly — leading to a very dangerous surge. Matthew Cappucci has an update.
From late yesterday
Hurricane Milton is expected to deliver devastating storm surge to Florida's west coast by Wednesday night. Currently classified as a powerful Category 5, Milton is anticipated to make landfall in Florida as a significant hurricane.
Here's an update from our storm tracker, @JordanHallWX, who is in Sarasota, Florida, preparing for the storm.
#flwx #Florida #Hurricane #Milton #tampa
NEW: We have increased our forecast wind speeds associated with #Milton. This comes after incoming model data and NHC forecasts that suggest Milton may retain strength a bit longer.
The advice remains the same: run from the water and hide from the wind.
Milton a big Florida risk
In a dramatic uptrend, there is now a risk of a major hurricane hitting Florida on Wednesday. Instead of just heavy rain, now a life-threatening storm surge and destructive winds could pose serious hazards. Meteorologist Matthew Cappucci has a critical update on Milton.
“At the end of the day, why do people believe — or post — conspiracy theories? Multiple reasons.”
Matthew Cappucci's full breakdown of Helene-related conspiracies in @MyRadar
Tropical Storm Milton has formed: Impacts to Florida Midweek
Tropical storm Milton is quickly strengthening and is forecast to make landfall along Florida's west coast Wednesday as a category 2 hurricane. Meteorologist Erica Lopez breaks down the impacts and timing.
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