Regardless of politics, Rubio has been relating some pretty sobering stuff, presumably from what he's hearing in briefings.

It's not too far off from some of the public analysis by professionals.

With Belarus seemingly entering the war on Ukraine formally (Belarusian jets are taking off for missions in Ukraine), the chances of direct NATO involvement has gone up quite a bit, IMHO.

There are a whole lot of hair triggers being taken off "safety" in this escalating situation.

@th3j35t3r Ah, ok, now seeing claims it was faked, or at least not where and when it was purported to happen: https://twitter.com/OlgaNYC1211/status/1498054915725348864

@th3j35t3r seeing geolocation-based OSINT a that it was either an ammo dump or a fertilizer factory.

Probably "ominous prediction" is a better way to put it.

Interesting take, with an interesting prediction

https://twitter.com/davetroy/status/1497420231970627584

@TheLegend_AZ "Hello, Mrs. Antov? Do you know what your son has been doing? Can you come pick him up?"

I would think they'd go the thermobaric "shock and awe" route before just blatantly leaping right to full-on WMD use.

Really hoping this is indeed just a rumor.

@SteppinRazor Every one of these is more loss of life for Russia than the U.S. lost in the entire Gulf War.

@R3dH00d I'm unsure as to whether other IDS databases (such as Snort rules) can be used with Suricata in Security Onion

@R3dH00d Among the things I'm thinking about doing: running host intrusion on all computers (right now, all user machines are Windows machines running Malwarebytes and Windows Defender); tuning Security Onion rules further (the professional Emerging Threats database is too expensive, though); maybe taking management off of a VLAN and running it truly out-of-band with a separate internet connection

@R3dH00d Not at all. Border router is a Ubiquiti ER-POE with the only purpose of running NAT. Subsequently: OpenBSD routers in a failover configuration (will also be running OpenVPN, but not yet); Ubiquiti switchgear (all up to date). Network segmented on VLANs, with all management functions on their own VLAN. Also, a Security Onion IDS on the main egress.

@Render @jerichotasker OSINT also noted the ships made sure to be seen, and we're riding high in the water.

@Render @jerichotasker chatter on Analysis Twitter is around this being a distraction, with a real assault by sea hitting Odessa.

Not that I think I'm a particular target -- more concerned about weaponized malware that gets out of control. But anything is possible.

I put a little more effort than perhaps is typical into defending my home network. I'm curious about thoughts on such defense, and good tactics, given current events. Any recommendations? #CoSoInfosec

@jerichotasker @Render now Notice To Airmen (NOTAM) filed by Russia for the Sea of Azov, starting 00:00 UTC tonight.

@th3j35t3r wait -- this is a new hack? I guess the previous one was Parlor, several weeks back, right?

What's up with the Ozone Layer?

#CoSoScience

http://backreaction.blogspot.com/2021/02/whats-up-with-ozone-layer.html